RUN / THE / NUMBERS
RunTheNumbers

Stop guessing. Run the numbers on the thing you keep postponing.

Type your idea and your income goal. See what has to be true, which assumption is doing all the work, and the cheapest way to test it this week.

  • Benchmarks are medians from real ventures, with sources you can check
  • Every guess stays flagged until you replace it with evidence
  • Your first test is designed to cost $0 and take 7 days
A worked example

Idea: "$29 template pack for wedding photographers" · Goal: $3,000/mo

The math: $3,000 ÷ $29 ≈ 104 sales/mo. At the median cold conversion for an unknown seller (0.5–2%), that's 5,200–20,800 visits/mo. The assumption doing all the work: conversion. Median first-dollar timeline in this class: 3–4 months (SaaSRanger, n≈1,000).

Cheapest test: a $0 waitlist page + 10 real answers from photographers — 7 days.

Median Gumroad creator earns $72/mo; the median product sells 28 copies lifetime (146K products analyzed, 2026). We build against medians — so your plan survives contact with reality.

Ask ChatGPT and it answers — then forgets. We keep a ledger of your unproven assumptions and come back in 30 days to ask what the test showed.

How we make money

The core mirror is free. Later: optional deep protocol packs (one-time), and when a step needs a tool, we show ranked options — including at least one we earn nothing from. Recommendations never change your math.

Read the full disclosure →